THE
MYTH OF ISRAELI INVINCIBILITY. PART X
2013-2025
– Intervention in Syria
In the 2010s, Israel maintained its dominance in the Middle East through the same assets: US support, intelligence services, air power, and technological superiority. The 'blitzkrieg' was no longer relevant. Regarding the security of its territory and population, however, certain problems still existed. Neighboring states no longer posed any threat, but the danger represented by Hezbollah, backed by Syria and Iran, remained. The major problem was that the Israeli armed forces had failed to diminish the group's capability to launch attacks. On the contrary, the group's capabilities were growing, and nothing seemed to prevent this. Additionally, another danger came from the Gaza Strip. Following the complete withdrawal of the armed forces and the evacuation of Israeli settlements there in 2005, the Hamas group took full control of this area in 2007[1]. Shortly after the withdrawal, in the same month (September 2005), rocket launches from the strip into Israeli territory began [2].
In March 2011, a major crisis erupted
in Syria, which would soon lead to a civil war. The government quite quickly
lost control over a large part of the country as various opposition factions
developed their military capabilities. Several state and non-state actors
intervened in the conflict, supporting both the various groups opposing the
regime and the regime itself. For Israel, the weakening of the Syrian
government and its loss of territorial control was a major advantage because,
automatically, there was a chance that a key backer of Hezbollah would
disappear and, at the same time, its supply routes would be eliminated.
Practically, an Iranian outpost next to Israel was in jeopardy. Therefore, Hezbollah
deployed significant forces from Lebanon to Syria, and the Iranian leadership
sent approximately 2,000 military personnel to Syria to fight on the
government's side[3].
And because of this, Israeli forces executed military operations on Syrian
territory to strike Iranian forces and pro-Iranian groups.[4]
Information regarding Israeli military
actions in Syria during the civil war is rather vaguely reported in the mass
media. Nevertheless, let us attempt to construct a chronology:
January
30, 2013: Several Israeli military aircraft fly over
Lebanon, briefly enter Syrian airspace, and launch eight air-to-surface
missiles that strike the Military Scientific Research Center in Damascus;
reports emerge in the international media that the actual target of the attack
was an Iranian convoy transporting weapons for Hezbollah (including SA-17/9K37
Buk anti-aircraft missiles); simultaneously, an insurgent group carries out
a mortar attack on the aforementioned center; an insurgent leader claims that,
as a result of the attack, a high-ranking commander of the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard was killed, along with several associates.[5]
May
3 – 5, 2013:
-
Several targets are hit,
including the Military Scientific Research Center in Damascus, Damascus
International Airport, the barracks of a tank division, and a Republican Guard
base; a shipment of weapons and ammunition for Hezbollah is also
attacked in a Damascus suburb; powerful explosions are reported in an area
located 15 km from the Lebanese border; powerful explosions are also reported
in the town of Qudssaya, near Damascus.
-
Israeli officials state
that the objective of the operations is to stop the supply of
surface-to-surface missiles to Hezbollah; among these, M600
missiles are mentioned (the Syrian version of the Iranian Fateh-110
surface-to-surface missile – range of 300 km, payload of 500 kg).
-
Elements of the Iron
Dome anti-missile system are deployed in northern Israel.
-
The Arab League condemns
the Israeli attacks in Syria and calls on the UN Security Council to compel
Israel to stop its actions.
-
The US president
announces that he supports Israel's military actions.[6]
December
2014: The Israeli air force conducts two raids
on targets near the Syrian capital [7].
January
18, 2015: 6 important Hezbollah members and
an Iranian general are killed in an airstrike in the Quneitra Governorate
(southern Syria)[8].
December
2015: A high-ranking Hezbollah leader
is killed in an airstrike near Damascus[9].
December
2016: Israeli airstrikes target the Syrian Air
Force Intelligence headquarters at the Mazzeh Air Base, near Damascus[10].
January
2017: The Mazzeh Air Base is bombarded several
times[11].
March
2017: Israeli fighter jets strike weapons
shipments bound for Hezbollah, near Palmyra[12].
April
2017: A huge explosion occurs near Damascus
International Airport; Syrian media blames Israeli forces for it; independent
sources claim that an ammunition depot bound for Hezbollah was hit.[13]
August
2017: The Mossad chief is received by the
US president, and the Israeli prime minister meets with the president of the
Russian Federation; at both meetings, Israel demands that pro-Iranian groups
stay at least 40 kilometers away from the Israeli border.[14]
September
2017: The Israeli Air Force strikes a weapons
factory in the town of Masyaf (northwestern Syria); according to Israeli
sources, it was producing precision weapons for Hezbollah. [15]
September
13, 2017: Israeli territory is hit by mortar shells
from Syrian territory; in retaliation, Israeli fighter jets attack the mortar
firing positions; the Syrian air defense launches two missiles at them; Syrian
sources claim they shot down a plane and a drone; Israeli representatives deny
it. [16]
September
17, 2017: A missile launched by the Syrian air
defense accidentally shoots down a Russian electronic surveillance aircraft (Il-20);
Russian officials accuse Israeli fighter jets executing a guided bomb attack on
targets in the Latakia Governorate (on the Mediterranean coast) of using the
Russian aircraft as a shield to protect themselves from Syrian anti-aircraft
missiles. [17]
October
2017: The Syrian air defense launches a
missile at an Israeli reconnaissance aircraft flying over Lebanon; in
retaliation, the Israeli Air Force destroys an anti-aircraft missile battery
located near Damascus. [18]
December
2017: Airstrikes are conducted against a
scientific research center in Damascus and an ammunition depot.[19]
2018:
Iranian forces deploy short- and medium-range missiles; in response, the strike
campaign expands, targeting mainly military and civilian airports; among these
are the Mezzeh military airfield (Damascus), Damascus International Airport,
Aleppo International Airport, and the T4 air base.
February
10, 2018: Following the incursion of an Iranian
drone into Israeli airspace, Israeli fighter jets execute strikes against
targets on Syrian territory; the Syrian air defense manages to shoot down an F-16,
which crashes on Israeli territory.[20]
May
2018: The Israeli Air Force executes strikes
against Iranian forces and Syrian anti-aircraft batteries; in retaliation,
Iranian forces launch 20 missiles at Israel.[21]
October
2018: The delivery of S-300
anti-aircraft missile batteries from the Russian Federation to Syrian forces is
finalized.[22]
2019:
The Israeli Air Force is conducting approximately 70 airstrikes against targets
of Iranian forces and pro-Iranian groups, with most targets located in western
and southern Syria[23].
January
2019: Israeli fighter jets (possibly F-35s)
strike Damascus airport, destroying a radar and a Pantsir-S air defense
system[24]
(made in Russian Federation).
February
14, 2019: The Israeli air force destroys a Pantsir-S
anti-aircraft missile system[25]
(this may be the same operation reported by some media sources in January –
author's note).
August
2019: The Israeli Air Force conducts multiple
raids inside Iraq, targeting weapons depots and convoys destined for Hezbollah
[26].
September
19, 2019: Israeli media sources claim that Israeli
fighter jets flew over Damascus without being detected [27].
October
2019: Iranian forces are establishing a
military base on the Syria-Iraq border [28].
December
24, 2019: The Israeli Air Force attacks three
targets near Damascus; at least one air-to-surface missile is shot down by
Syrian air defenses, a detail confirmed by Israeli sources.[29]
2020:
The Israeli Air Force is conducting approximately 70 airstrikes against targets
of Iranian forces and pro-Iranian groups; compared to the previous year, the
scope of the strikes has expanded toward the center of the country.[30]
February
2020: Four Israeli F-35 Adir fighter
jets strike an Iranian convoy heading toward Aleppo; to execute the mission,
they flew over Jordan and Iraq, being refueled in mid-air.[31]
August
6, 2020: Israeli sources announce the elimination
of a senior Hezbollah member following an airstrike; meanwhile, the same
sources state that Israeli forces' ammunition stockpiles have significantly
decreased due to numerous attacks against the Hezbollah group, requiring
urgent deliveries from the US.[32]
January
– March 2021: The Israeli Air Force continues its
campaign targeting Iranian objectives; over 20 raids are executed.[33]
2022:
Israeli airstrikes on Syrian territory no longer focus on targets belonging to Hezbollah
and Iranian forces, but rather on Syrian military infrastructure (52% of
attacks) and civilian infrastructure – ports, airports, etc. (29% of attacks)[34].
2023:
Statistics on Israeli airstrikes on Syrian territory show that 47% targeted
military and national infrastructure, 24% targeted Hezbollah objectives,
24% Iranian forces, and 5% weapons transfers[35].
January
– September 2024: The air campaign intensifies; 43
strikes are conducted; 16 raids each are carried out against the cities of
Damascus and Hama, targeting missile and drone factories, military convoys, and
weapons depot.
March
17, 2024: Multiple missile airstrikes are
executed, targeting objectives in the south of the country; among these are two
military bases in the vicinity of Damascus.[36]
March
29, 2024: A weapons depot located south of Aleppo
is struck, killing 36 Syrian soldiers and 6 Hezbollah members [37].
April
1, 2024: The Iranian consulate in Damascus is
struck, killing seven people, including two Iranian generals and a Hezbollah
leader [38].
May
27, 2024: Airstrikes on the city of Aleppo;
several people killed, including an Iranian military advisor [39].
September
9, 2024: Massive strikes carried out on targets
located in the Masyaf district of Hama; official Syrian sources report 18 dead
and 37 wounded, but much higher numbers are estimated. [40]
September
12, 2024: Israeli Special Forces carry out a raid
on a weapons factory located near the border with Lebanon; according to Israeli
sources, production was intended to supply Hezbollah [41].
October
1, 2024: Israeli forces destroy three Syrian
forces' radars in the south of the country using attack drones [42].
December
8, 2024: Al-Assad regime collapses.
December
9, 2024: Israeli troops advance into Syrian
territory and occupy fortifications near the border [43].
December
9-19, 2024: The
Israeli Air Force carries out over 600 strikes in Syria, primarily targeting
air and naval bases; Israeli forces occupy Mount Hermon, located in the
demilitarized zone between Israel and Syria.[44]
January
– June 2025: Israeli forces occupy an area of
460 square kilometers of Syrian territory; there, they establish 9 outposts,
pave several roads, and mine multiple strips of land; the Israeli air force
carries out, on average, an attack every 3 to 4 days on Syrian military
infrastructure; in total, during this period, over 200 operations are executed
using fighter jets, attack drones, and artillery; the majority of the attacks
are on targets in the governorates of Daraa (57 attacks), Damascus (49 attacks),
and Quneitra (25 attacks).[45]
End
of April 2025: The Israeli Air Force carries out
the most extensive strikes since the fall of the Syrian regime [46].
June
3, 2025: Two rockets launched from Syria land on
Israeli territory; in retaliation, Israeli artillery strikes several targets on
Syrian territory.
The statistics of the attacks carried
out by Israeli forces on Syrian territory (using fighter jets, drones, and
artillery) between January 2017 and May 2025 are as follows [47]:
It is important to specify that the majority of the
airstrikes carried out by Israeli forces were conducted from outside Syrian
airspace, using air-to-surface missiles. Most of the time, Israeli fighter jets
struck targets in Syria while flying over Lebanon and over the Mediterranean
Sea.[48]
The analysis of this military campaign
is quite simple. Israel's air power is undeniable. Meanwhile, the adversary was
involved in a fierce civil war, which massively diminished its defense
capabilities. The precision of the attacks was clearly due to the efficiency of
the intelligence services operating on the ground. In fact, in a country
engulfed in civil war, foreign intelligence services feel like a fish in water.
They can use various insurgent groups for their own purposes, officials can be
corrupted quite easily, and counterintelligence services no longer have
anywhere near the freedom they used to have during peacetime.
It is noteworthy that the Syrian air
defense could not prevent the Israeli attacks. It managed to shoot down a
number—be it small or large (we cannot know)—of air-to-surface missiles. It
recorded only one clear victory: the downing of an F-16. There was also
information about other Israeli aircraft being hit, but it was not confirmed.
This is understandable, as the Syrian armed forces were in crisis. They were
fighting multiple enemies from different directions. Insurgent groups often
adopted guerrilla tactics, which jeopardized radar and air response systems. At
the same time, the civil war meant an economic crisis, which translated into a
lack of resources. And spies and saboteurs were everywhere. The combat
equipment was largely obsolete: S-125, S-200, and Buk[49].
Although a large number of missiles were launched (for example, by May 2018,
over 100 had been used [50]),
no aircraft were shot down (with a single exception), though missiles were
intercepted. According to Syrian sources, the number of shot-down missiles was
high, but we cannot be certain that the data is accurate and not part of the
usual war propaganda. There was also information about drones being shot down,
but in small numbers [51].
Particularly interesting is the fact
that the Israeli combat aviation avoided Syrian airspace. Most of the missions
were executed from Lebanese airspace and over the Mediterranean, utilizing
air-to-ground missiles. The Israeli aviators had at their disposal missiles
with a range of between 60 and 250 km[52]. This
means that the Israelis considered the Syrian air defense to be effective. Even
in the case of F-35 aircraft, which possess stealth capabilities,
experts believe they avoided entering Syrian airspace because the aircraft
still presents some vulnerabilities (low speed, limited altitude, and reduced
maneuverability), and the Israelis did not take the risk[53]. Lebanese
airspace was preferred by the Israelis because the Syrian capital and many
targets fell within the range of the missiles, and the terrain is advantageous
for the attackers. Thus, Israeli jets would fly over valleys, appear suddenly
from behind the mountain ranges of eastern Lebanon, launch their missiles, and
disappear very quickly. The short exposure time on Syrian radars did not allow
for an adequate reaction from the air defense. The distance between the central
area of the Bekaa Valley and Damascus is approximately 70 km. There was another
advantage: the Syrian air force was unable to retaliate, meaning it could not
patrol the areas used by the Israelis and intercept their aircraft. This was
because it was inferior in every aspect: technical, numerical, etc. To strike
targets in eastern Syria, Israeli jets used another asset: freedom of action in
Jordanian and Iraqi airspace. Most certainly, both states were forced to accept
the overflight of Israeli fighter jets due to US intervention.
Less known is the fact that there was
information about an Israeli F-35 being hit by the Syrian air defense in 2017. These
were based on two elements: on that day, the Syrians launched missiles at a
formation of Israeli fighter jets, and during that same period, an F-35
aircraft was damaged following a bird strike, according to official reports.
Moreover, this type of incident is not entirely uncommon in aviation. The
information regarding the Syrian air defense's success against the F-35
was denied[54].
[1] Encyclopedia
Britannica, section History, Israel’s Disengagement from Gaza in 2005
page, accessed April 23, 2026, https://www.britannica.com/event/Israels-disengagement-from-Gaza?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
[2] “Gaza Timeline: From
Israel's 2004 Withdrawal to Hamas' Attack on October 7, 2023”, Israel Fact
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[3] Ofer
Shelah, Carmit Valensi, The Campaign between Wars at a Crossroads CBW,
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(INSS), accessed May 1, 2026, https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Memo_227_ShelahValensi_ENG.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
[4] “Why Has the Syrian War
Lasted 12 years?”, BBC, accessed April 23, 2026, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-35806229.
[5] “Israel Targeted
Iran-backed Groups in Syria With Over 43 airstrikes in 2024”, Anadolu Ajansi,
accessed April 27, 2026, https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/israel-targeted-iran-backed-groups-in-syria-with-over-43-airstrikes-in-2024/3327765?utm_source=chatgpt.com; “Timeline: Israeli
attacks on Syrian targets”, Al Jazeera, accessed April 27, 2026, https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2013/5/5/timeline-israeli-attacks-on-syrian-targets.
[6] “Timeline: Israeli
attacks on Syrian targets”, Al Jazeera.
[7] “Air strikes on Syrian
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[8] Ofer
Shelah, Carmit Valensi.
[9] “Air
strikes on Syrian regime: Israel raids inside Syria since 2013”, The Straits
Times.
[10] Ibid.
[11] Ibid.
[12] Ibid.
[13] Ibid.
[14] Council
on Foreign Relations (CFR) official website, “Ending the War in Syria: An
Israeli Perspective”, accessed April 28, 2026, https://www.cfr.org/councilofcouncils/global-memo/ending-the-war-in-syria-an-israeli-perspective/.
[15] Council on Foreign
Relations (CFR) official website, “Ending the War in Syria: An Israeli
Perspective”.
[16] Defense One, section
The D Brief, accessed April 30, 2026, https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2016/09/the-d-brief-september-13-2016/131478/.
[17] “Russian IL-20 Aircraft
Shot Down by Syrian S-200 Missile”, Defense World, accessed April 30,
2026, https://www.defenseworld.net/2018/09/18/russian-il-20-aircraft-shot-down-by-syrian-s-200-missile.html.
[18] “Air
strikes on Syrian regime: Israel raids inside Syria since 2013”, The Straits
Times.
[19] Ibid.
[20] “Tension Rises Between
Israel and Iran After Syria Clash”, The Wall Street Journal, accessed
May 1, 2026, https://www.wsj.com/articles/israel-vows-more-aggression-to-stop-iranian-military-expansion-in-syria-1518358488.
[21] Ofer
Shelah, Carmit Valensi.
[22] “Russia Completes
Delivery of S-300 System to Syria”, The Moscow Times, accessed May 3,
2026, https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2018/10/03/russia-completes-delivery-of-s-300-system-to-syria-a63062/pdf.
[23] The report “Syria: 10
Years On”, ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data), accessed
April 30, 2026, https://acleddata.com/report/syria-10-years?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
[24] “Did Israel’s Air Force
Use Stealthy F-35 Fighters for Strikes on Damascus?”, Military Watch, accessed
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[25] “Ukrainian EW Radar
Helped Israel Destroy Iranian Pantsir Air Defence in Syria”, Defense World,
accessed April 30, 2026, https://www.defenseworld.net/2019/02/15/ukrainian-ew-radar-helped-israel-destroy-iranian-pantsir-air-defence-in-syria.html.
[26] “Alleged Israeli
Strikes Bring US to Crossroads in Iraq”, Defense One, accessed May 1,
2026, https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2019/08/alleged-israeli-strikes-bring-us-crossroads-iraq/159541/.
[27] “Russian
S-300s, S-400s Fail to Detect Israeli F-35s Flying Over Syria: Reports”, Defense
World, accessed April 30, 2026, https://www.defenseworld.net/2019/09/19/russian-s-300s-s-400s-fail-to-detect-israeli-f-35s-flying-over-syria-reports.html.
[28] “Israeli F-35I Jets
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[29] “Syria accuses Israel
of attack; IDF confirms Israeli air defenses triggered”, Ynet Global, accessed
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[30] The
report “Syria: 10 Years On”, ACLED.
[31] “Israeli
F-35I Jets Strikes “Large Convoy” in Syria”, Defense World.
[32] “Israel Needs Help
Rebuilding Its Munitions Stockpile”, Defense One, accessed May 1, 2026, https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2020/08/israel-needs-help-rebuilding-its-munitions-stockpile/167497/.
[33] The
report “Syria: 10 Years On”, ACLED.
[34] Ofer Shelah, Carmit
Valensi.
[35] Ibid.
[36] “Israel strikes several
sites in Syria, wounding a soldier, Syrian military says”, Associated Press
(AP), accessed April 28, 2026, https://apnews.com/article/syria-israel-hezbollah-strikes-89750162f563f2242ce56d236c6ddf05.
[37] “Israeli airstrike in
Syria kills more than 40 people, says war monitor”, The Guardian, accessed
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[38] “Israeli
airstrikes near Syria’s Aleppo kill several, including an Iranian adviser,
reports say”, Associated Press (AP), accessed April 23, 2026, https://apnews.com/article/syria-israel-aleppo-strike-4bb542ab0a1f1764b8d5d1bac478ce49.
[39] Ibid.
[40] “Israel
targeted Iran-backed groups in Syria with over 43 airstrikes in 2024”, Anadolu
Ajansi.
[41] Defense
One,
section The D Brief, accessed May1, 2026, https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/09/the-d-brief-september-13-2024/399516/.
[42] “Israel strikes three
anti-aircraft radar stations in southern Syria, sources say”, Reuters, accessed
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[43] “Why is Israel
Escalating its Strikes Against Syria?”, Royal United Services
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[44] “Israeli airstrikes in
Syria 'most violent' since 2012, monitor says”, Euro News, accessed
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[45] “Why
is Israel Escalating its Strikes Against Syria?”, RUSI; “Mapping
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30, 2026, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/6/4/mapping-israels-expanding-air-attacks-across-syria?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
[46] “Why
is Israel Escalating its Strikes Against Syria?”, RUSI.
[47] “Mapping
Israel’s expanding air attacks across Syria”, Al Jazeera.
[48] “Israel launches new
airstrikes from Lebanese airspace to attack Syria”, The Cradle, accessed
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https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-59561148; Defense One,
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[49] “Syrian Air Defense
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5, 2026, https://www.meforum.org/syrian-air-defense-missiles-everything-you-need.
[50] “Everything We Know (and
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Stealth Aircraft”, The Aviationist, accessed May 5, 2026, https://theaviationist.com/2018/05/22/everything-we-know-and-dont-know-about-israel-launching-worlds-first-air-strikes-using-the-f-35-stealth-aircraft/#allow.
[51] “Syria shoots down
'hostile' drones near Damascus”, Press TV, accessed May 5, 2026, https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/02/09/719771/Syria-shoots-down-drones-Damascus?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
[52] “The Israeli Air Force
Has Just Released a Video of a Pantsir-S1 Air Defense System Being Struck in
Last Night’s Attack in Syria”, The Aviationist, accessed May 6, 2026, https://theaviationist.com/2018/05/10/the-israeli-air-force-has-just-released-a-video-of-a-pantsir-s1-air-defense-system-being-struck-in-last-night-attack-in-syria/?utm_source=chatgpt.com#allow; “The long arm of the
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[53] “Did
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[54] “Did a Russian-Made
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